Besides Latham providing the definitive label for this year's election, he also puts forward the idea that there is no private housing affordability crisis. Is there a housing crisis? Do you agree with Mark Latham when he says that any cash injection style housing assistance will simply put upward pressure on housing prices?
If only Latham had been that coherent for the majority of hs campain he would now be the PM seeking his second term.
Anything that makes housing more affordable simply increases the demand and puts upward pressure on prices.
Unless of course it also makes many other items more affordable and thus siphons off funds in that direction so that those who wish to purchase a house do so in a less competitive environment.
One of the key ways to do this is to reduce taxes. Everything becomes more affordable so people spend (yes I agree that is inflationary). But at least the demand is spread across all sectors of the economy. By pumping up housing alone and putting too much focus there the only people who win are the builders.
A further benefit to reeducing taxes is that negatively gearing a property actually becomes LESS attractive.
Why?
Because at the moment when I do my sums to determine if I should invest or not I have the wonderful ability to count the cost of interest against my taxable income in the highest tax bracket. For the sake of argument let's take to top bracket as being 50% (near enough for the purposes of this debate.
That means that for every $1 of interest I pay out of my post tax income I get a 50c rebate from teh government. Effectively the governmnet halves my interest bill. If I don't minimise my tax I KNOW I have to pay 50c in every top end dollar in tax so there are plenty of accountants doing this on behalf of upper income earners on a daily basis.
All of which increases the upward pressure on housing prices.
If you drop the tax rate to say, 25% (for the sake of making the maths easy) then for every $1 of interst I pay on my loan the government only gives me 25c back. So by cutting taxes they have effectively cut my easily generated return from teh governmnet in half.
And I am therefore more likely to look elsewhere for investments that make a better return thus reducing the pressure on house prices. Note this negative impact on investment return may lead to a reduction in newly developed housing stock for rent and drive rents up. That's a story for another time.
More to the point, is there any real tangible difference between the proposed Rudd and Howard governments?
For me - not on the surface.
Underneath - you know what you get with JHo, KRudd will drop everything immediately post election and who knows what we will get. Funny that GArrett got slugged for saying what everyone knows to be the truth.
SG